Movie S2.

The Supporting Video 2 (Model and Data animation) is an animation showing the comparison between simulated and recorded spatio-temporal evolution of the cumulative number of severe cases that required hospitalization. Left panel: model simulation at the municipality scale (N=7926) using the median estimated parameters reported in Table 2 of the main text. Central Panel: simulation at the province scale (N=107) used to estimate model parameters. Right panel: recorded data at the province scale. Circle size is proportional to the logarithm of the cumulative cases. Top inset shows the corresponding cumulative number of severe cases for the whole Italy: circles represent data, shaded area the model simulation.